Packers vs. 49ers Sharp Betting Pick: Buyback on the NFC Championship Over/Under

In what will be the penultimate NFL game of the season, the heir of Brett Favre visits the heir of Tom Brady to decide who represents the NFC in the Super Bowl. While sharps waited until Thursday to make a move on this game, there’s been some very interesting activity over the past few days. …

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Stuckey: How I’m Betting Titans vs. Chiefs and Packers vs. 49ers on Championship Sunday

Stuckey analyzes both conference championship matchups and makes his picks for Titans-Chiefs and Packers-49ers.


Titans at Chiefs

One key to NFL playoff betting is to fade teams after scoring 40 or more points. Postseason NFL lines tend to be pretty sharp, but public perception can still create a bit of value in certain circumstances — particularly after a team comes off an impressive blowout in the postseason.

Teams are 6-25-1 against the spread the week after scoring 40 or more points in the playoffs since 1980 — that’s worse than a 20% cover clip.

Packers vs. 49ers Picks, Predictions & Odds: How We’re Betting the NFC Championship Game

Packers at 49ers Picks & NFC Championship Odds Odds: 49ers -7.5 Over/Under: 46.5 Kickoff: 6:40 p.m. ET TV Channel: FOX Odds as of Saturday evening and via FanDuel, where Action Network users get a risk-free bet up to $500. After opening as 7-point favorites, the 49ers are up to -7.5 heading into Sunday’s NFC Championship …

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Titans DL Simmons not fined in spitting inquiry

Tennessee Titans defensive lineman Jeffery Simmons dodged a $14,037 fine for unsportsmanlike conduct, when the NFL found no visual evidence of him spitting on Baltimore Ravens guard Marshal Yanda.

Koerner’s AFC & NFC Championship Props Guide: Picks for Titans vs. Chiefs & Packers vs. 49ers

There’s tons of value to be had betting NFL props. And in honor of the playoffs, I’m peeling the curtain back on my full prop betting process.

Below is a guide to the player props I’m betting for Sunday’s conference championships featuring the Titans at Chiefs and Packers at 49ers. I’ve also created a downloadable spreadsheet calculator, which you can use to plug in the lines at your books and automatically calculate the exact edge on 13 different props (including ones I haven’t made picks on yet).

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Note that I typically wouldn’t bet a prop unless the line offers a 58% edge according to my calculations, so every pick I’ve outlined in the following analysis reaches at least that threshold.

Now let’s dig into the slate.

AFC & NFC Championship Props & Picks: Titans-Chiefs & Packers-49ers


Odds as of Saturday afternoon and via FanDuel, where Action Network users get a risk-free bet up to $500.


Chiefs RB Damien Williams

Williams is a very interesting back to forecast.

Because the Chiefs fell behind to the Texans early in the Divisional Round, Kansas City was forced into an extreme pass-heavy game plan. Williams finished with 12 carries, but it’s safe to assume he would have seen more had the Chiefs not trailed by more than three scores to start the game. Therefore I’m projecting him for 13.5 carries against the Titans.

Titans vs. Chiefs Picks, Predictions & Odds: How We’re Betting the AFC Championship

Titans at Chiefs Odds & Picks: AFC Championship Odds: Chiefs -7.5 Over/Under: 52.5 Kickoff: 3:05 p.m. ET TV Channel: CBS Odds as of Saturday afternoon and via FanDuel, where Action Network users get a risk-free bet up to $500. The Chiefs’ hopes of returning to the AFC Championship looked dim when they fell behind, 24-0, …

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Titans vs. Chiefs Weather Forecast: Cold Temperatures, Wind Expected at Arrowhead Stadium

Aside from nearly identical point spreads and some surprise teams making appearances, the story for this weekend’s NFL Conference Championship weekend surrounds the weather — well, at least in one of the games. Bet 49ers +49 vs. Packers & Win $200 at BetMGMRead now While not as windy as last week’s forecast, this weekend is …

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Packers vs. 49ers NFL Pro System Pick: Take Advantage of Public Bettors in NFC Championship Game

Sunday’s NFL Conference Championship games will drive massive betting handles, especially with the most casual of bettors hitting the market to get down on Titans vs. Chiefs and Packers vs. 49ers. An influx of public betting action creates profitable opportunities for contrarians, especially in games that will be very heavily bet. The NFC Championship Game …

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Packers vs. 49ers Weather Forecast: Should Bettors Worry About Wind in NFC Championship Game?

Not only is the NFL season winding down, but we’re also in the dead of winter, meaning weather can have a serious impact on the games themselves and for bettors. In fact, both of Sunday’s conference championship matchups will be played outdoors and at the mercy of the elements. In the NFC, San Francisco will …

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Touchdown maker Antonio Gates set standard for pass-catching tight ends

After 16 years with the Chargers, Gates’ destiny could take him to the Hall.

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